Complex Urban Futures: Using scenarios to tackle the complexity of megaregional systems -70

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Henry Endemann, Joern Buehring, and Gerhard Bruyns

Megaregions represent the massive scale and overwhelming complexity of contemporary urbanization. This requires new and adapted methods for those designing in and for megaregions. Scenarios are a promising tool for this, but urban designers struggle to use them systematically. Improved and adapted scenario-building methodologies for urban designers are needed. Therefore, this presentation puts forward a framework to reveal and discuss urban complexity through “megaregional scenarios”. The framework is constituted of three phases: analysis, design, and evaluation, in which the analysis builds the basis for an iterative process of drafting and assessing scenarios. The focus of this presentation is the design phase, which is most relevant for the implementation of systemic design principles. The presentation emphasizes the importance of including multiple stakeholders in a design process that triangulates different design methods. It shows initial tests of the framework in design studios at different universities, in which students translate abstract themes into concrete spatial concepts during playful, intuitive, and fast-paced design sessions. The exploration of various design options across various performance indicators helps to initiate discussions on the complexity and ambiguity of megaregions. While further fine-tuning of the framework is needed, it shows the potential to ultimately support well-informed decision-making in the context of mega-regionalization.

Keywords: complex urban systems, megaregions, scenarios, regional design

Pre-proceedings drafts are available for RSD11 participants to review. The corresponding paper number is at the end of the title. The papers have been peer-reviewed, and the authors have made revisions. Following RSD11, authors will have a final period to revise their work from the feedback received at RSD before the proceedings are formally published.

Posted September 2022

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Suggested Citation Format (APA)

Author(s) (20XX). Article title. Proceedings of Relating Systems Thinking and Design (RSDX) Symposium. rsdsymposium.org/LINK.